原始文献 / 论坛帖 / Webpage idea: Next predicted difficulty change
Webpage idea: Next predicted difficulty change
Bitcointalk · 2010-07-31 01:32:08 UTC
如果有人做个页面（就像 http://www.alloscomp.com/bitcoin/calculator.php 上那个好用的计算器），预测下一次难度调整会是多少，那就太好了。
预测难度调整倍数 =
自上次调整以来产生的区块数 / 2016
------------------------------------
自上次调整以来经过的时间 / 14 天
比如，如果只用了 3.5 天（而不是 7 天）就走完了一半的调整周期，我们预计难度会翻倍：
(1008/2016) / (3.5/14) = 0.5/0.25 = 2.0
它还可以显示预计的下次调整时间，以及上次调整的时间和幅度。
英文原文
It would be neat if someone had a page (like that handy calculator at http://www.alloscomp.com/bitcoin/calculator.php) that projects what the next difficulty adjustment will be.
projected difficulty adjustment multiplier =
blocks_since_last_adjustment / 2016
------------------------------------
time_since_last_adjustment / 14_days
For instance, if it already got half way to the next adjustment in only 3.5 days instead of 7, we would expect difficulty to double:
(1008/2016) / (3.5/14) = 0.5/0.25 = 2.0
Also, it could show the predicted time when the next adjustment will occur, and tell when the last adjustment was and how much it changed.